Mo IL vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SKE
3 - 0
MOI
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOI
2 - 3
FOL
8%
17%
75%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
9 - 0
MOI
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
MOI
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
MOI
3 - 2
TRO
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ULL
2 - 3
OPP
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ULL
1 - 1
SKE
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
ULL
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
ULL
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 0
SEN
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |