Mo IL vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SKE
2 - 3
MOI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 2
FIN
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
KFU
2 - 0
MOI
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 3
BOG
9%
18%
73%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MOI
3 - 1
MED
71%
16%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2014 |
FOL
7 - 1
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KJE
0 - 2
FOL
23%
22%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SKE
1 - 3
FOL
20%
21%
58%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
FFK
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOL
5 - 0
FIN
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |