MO Constantine vs Drean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MO Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
CON
3 - 1
HAR
45%
29%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
USM
2 - 1
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
MCS
2 - 0
CON
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
MSP
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Drean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
DRE
2 - 0
MSP
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
MOH
2 - 0
DRE
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
DRE
2 - 1
MOB
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
KHR
1 - 0
DRE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
DRE
1 - 0
MCS
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |