Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Titograd Podgorica vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Titograd Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
MLA
1 - 0
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MLA
7 - 2
LOV
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 3
MLA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MLA
6 - 2
JED
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
MLA
0 - 1
ZET
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHI
0 - 0
GAN
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GAN
2 - 1
BAN
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
GAN
1 - 1
PYU
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
GAN
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GAN
0 - 1
ALA
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |