Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-5
Mladost Lučani vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
PAR
5 - 0
MLA
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
MLA
3 - 2
NAP
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CRV
4 - 1
MLA
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
VOJ
2 - 1
MLA
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MLA
2 - 0
VOZ
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCK
1 - 0
SHA
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
FKQ
4 - 3
SHA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SHA
0 - 3
QAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
ZIR
1 - 1
SHA
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SHA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -3 |