Mladost Lučani vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
7º
40
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 2
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
JAV
1 - 0
MLA
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 0
RAD
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 0
MLA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 1
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
JAV
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 1
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |