Mladost Lučani vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
1º
39
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
MLA
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MLA
0 - 0
MNS
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 0
MLA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MLA
1 - 3
NPA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAC
2 - 1
MLA
73%
17%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 0
FKS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 0
MLA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
CRV
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |