Mladost Lučani vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
12º
7º
11
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
61% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 1
RAD
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 0
BUD
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BAC
1 - 2
MLA
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MLA
3 - 1
ČUK
25%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 1
MLA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
VOJ
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |