Mladost Lučani vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
61.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 1
MLA
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
1 - 0
BZR
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
0 - 0
MLA
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MLA
0 - 0
SLO
58%
27%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
MLA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 3
CRV
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CRV
2 - 0
BSK
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
CRV
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
REN
4 - 0
CRV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CRV
2 - 0
JAV
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |