Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 5-2
Mladá Boleslav vs Paksi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 2
MBO
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HBS
2 - 4
MBO
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MBO
4 - 0
ESK
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
MBO
1 - 1
HBS
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HRA
2 - 1
MBO
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
NYI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 2
PAK
14%
17%
69%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ZTE
3 - 1
PAK
27%
23%
51%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
UJP
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |