MKS Ełk vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MKS Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 2
MKS
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MKS
3 - 4
OLI
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LWA
3 - 1
MKS
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MVS
2 - 2
MKS
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MKS
1 - 3
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 1
WLO
15%
22%
64%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WSI
0 - 0
UWA
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
UWA
1 - 1
SWI
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MVS
2 - 0
UWA
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UWA
0 - 0
SOK
42%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |