MKS Ełk vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MKS Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LOM
0 - 1
MKS
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MKS
2 - 0
TBP
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 0
MKS
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MKS
4 - 0
MLP
77%
14%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
MKS
6 - 0
KOK
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 1
HUR
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
UWA
2 - 0
PEL
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LWA
1 - 4
UWA
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
UWA
2 - 0
PGM
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SOT
0 - 6
UWA
14%
24%
62%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |