MKS Ełk vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MKS Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MKS
0 - 0
WIK
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TBP
0 - 0
MKS
7%
15%
78%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MKS
1 - 1
DNM
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 3
MKS
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MKS
0 - 1
HUR
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
WLO
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
POL
2 - 2
SWI
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WSI
1 - 1
POL
12%
21%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MVS
1 - 1
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
SOK
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |