KS Cracovia vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
5º
29
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
21% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 4
CRA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
STA
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
CRA
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 2
CRA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
WLO
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USK
1 - 1
MOT
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |