KS Cracovia vs Korona Kielce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
6º
19
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KS Cracovia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CRA
0 - 1
MGJ
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CRA
0 - 0
RAK
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CRA
1 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CRA
3 - 2
NAP
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
CRA
1 - 2
NSM
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
WAR
1 - 1
KOR
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 0
KOR
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
KOR
3 - 1
BAN
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KOR
0 - 0
GAN
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
KOR
0 - 0
NYI
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |