Mjøndalen IF II vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
62.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
14º
14º
14º
31
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 62 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 57 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 38 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 5
KFU
24%
20%
56%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 2
MJO
53%
19%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
IFL
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
MJO
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
KFU
35%
21%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 3
SAR
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAR
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +4 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
ASK
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |