Mjøndalen IF II vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
62.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
14º
14º
14º
38
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
FRI
1 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
3%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 5
KFU
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 2
MJO
53%
19%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 1
IFL
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 1
MJO
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
KFU
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 3
SAR
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
BAR
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +5 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 0
SAR
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 3
ASK
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |