Mjølner vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOI
1 - 0
MJO
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
MJO
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MJO
1 - 2
FIN
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
7 - 0
MJO
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MJO
2 - 0
SKE
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ELP
6 - 0
TRO
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 2
RBK
18%
23%
59%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIF
4 - 0
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
LYN
0 - 7
TRO
11%
19%
69%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
STR
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |