Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
8º
5º
19
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
IFK
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 0
MJÄ
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DJU
1 - 1
MJÄ
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 1
HAL
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
MJÄ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Västerås SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
GÖT
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
VAS
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 3
GAI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
AIK
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
SIR
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |