Mjällby AIF vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
5º
41
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mjällby AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 2
HVI
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
MJÄ
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
HÄC
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 3
DJU
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 0
MJÄ
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
5 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 0
SIR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 0
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
GÖT
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |