Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 0-3
Mixto vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
74.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MIX
1 - 1
CUI
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 0
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
MIX
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MIX
1 - 0
SIN
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
PPE
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 3
SAN
12%
22%
67%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
OES
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |