Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Mixto vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
REM
2 - 1
MIX
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
2 - 0
REM
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 0
ARA
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |