Mixto vs Náuas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
MIX
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 2
MIX
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MGR
0 - 5
MIX
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MIX
3 - 0
RON
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Náuas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
MIX
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAU
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 5
RIO
16%
19%
64%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -2 |