Mixto vs Cacerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 3
MIX
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 1
LUV
15%
24%
62%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 2
MIX
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SIN
2 - 0
MIX
31%
28%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MIX
2 - 1
POC
66%
20%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
CEC
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 1
OPE
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 2
MIX
35%
28%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
LUV
4 - 0
CEC
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
CEC
2 - 0
SIN
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |