Mixto vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 1
MIX
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MIX
0 - 1
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIX
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
APA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
AGU
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |