Mixco vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
27.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
10º
11º
11
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 32 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 29 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 28 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
11 | 26 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
24% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 3
LEO
48%
29%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIX
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
5 - 1
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |