Mixco vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
12º
8º
13
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 20 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
28% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
MIX
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 1
ACH
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
MIX
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
XIN
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 0
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |