Mixco vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
MIX
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MIX
7 - 0
SAY
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MIX
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
MIX
1 - 3
DSA
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
MIX
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 3
AUR
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 1
UNI
18%
24%
59%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAY
3 - 0
UNI
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |