Mixco vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
12º
6º
44
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
MIX
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
MIX
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
4 - 2
IZT
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
SLC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIX
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 3
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 0
XIN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |