Mixco vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
23.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
10º
11º
11
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 32 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 32 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 29 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 28 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 28 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 26 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
24% | 83.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MIX
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
MIX
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 1
MIX
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACH
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
LEO
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
LEO
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |