Mixco vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
12º
8º
12
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
COB
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
MIX
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 1
GUA
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 3
MIX
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 2
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ANT
4 - 2
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 0
LEO
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 1
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |