Mixco vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
12º
9º
23
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
ZAC
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 0
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 1
MIX
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIX
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 1
ANT
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ZAC
2 - 1
GUA
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 3
GUA
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
MIX
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
ZAC
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |