Mixco vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
27.8%
59.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
21.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
29.6%
0-2
15%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SIQ
2 - 0
MIX
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MIX
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 1
MIX
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
IZT
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
ADR
68%
20%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -3 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |