Mixco vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
12º
9º
11
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 2
MIX
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 0
MIX
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
GUA
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
COA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COA
0 - 1
GUA
42%
30%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COM
5 - 0
COA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
COA
0 - 2
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |