Mito Hollyhock vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MIT
2 - 1
YOK
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 1
FCT
19%
23%
59%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 1
MIT
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MIT
3 - 1
GAI
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 1
TOC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAG
1 - 1
KAT
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KAT
0 - 2
YOK
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GIF
1 - 1
KAT
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 1
EHI
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
KAA
2 - 1
KAT
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |