Mito Hollyhock vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
EHI
1 - 1
MIT
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MIT
1 - 1
SHO
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TOK
2 - 0
MIT
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MIT
3 - 1
KYO
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 0
MIT
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AVI
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 3
TOK
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 0
EHI
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
YOK
1 - 1
AVI
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
GIF
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |