Mitchelton vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIT
5 - 3
EAS
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HPH
0 - 1
MIT
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +3 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 2
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -3 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 0
ALB
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LOG
0 - 0
MIT
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
HPH
73%
16%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 3
QUE
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 2
EAS
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
PER
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | -1 |