Mistelbach vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 1
KOT
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
MIS
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 1
STP
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GOT
0 - 3
MIS
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
WUR
0 - 0
ZWE
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 4
WUR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WUR
5 - 1
BAD
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
WUR
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WUR
2 - 0
SCH
90%
8%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |