Mistelbach vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GOT
0 - 3
MIS
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MIS
0 - 3
MAN
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 3
ZWE
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MIS
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 0
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STP
5 - 1
ZWE
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
STP
30%
24%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 0
BAD
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 2
STP
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STP
2 - 1
SPR
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |