Mistelbach vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 1
SVS
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
WUR
4 - 0
MIS
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
STP
2 - 5
MIS
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 1
KOT
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
GAF
2 - 1
STP
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
STP
0 - 2
STP
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GAF
3 - 3
STP
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
STP
2 - 5
MIS
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |