Mistelbach vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
STP
1 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 1
GOT
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
MIS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 2
LAN
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ZWE
0 - 1
MIS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
ZWE
57%
20%
22%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 3
STP
39%
24%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
BAD
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
ARD
0 - 0
STP
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |