Mistelbach vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
4 - 1
MIS
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
0 - 3
LAN
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STP
2 - 0
MIS
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 2
MIS
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
STP
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 4
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 0
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |