Mistelbach vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
60.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 0
MIS
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
MIS
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
MIS
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 1
KOT
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAF
5 - 3
ZWE
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 3
LEO
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 4
GAF
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GAF
5 - 2
BAD
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
3 - 4
GAF
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |