Missouri State vs Evansville Aces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Missouri State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MSB
1 - 0
SIU
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MSB
2 - 1
LYR
64%
19%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BLB
0 - 1
MSB
7%
14%
78%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MSB
3 - 1
DKB
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 2
MSB
7%
14%
79%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Evansville Aces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LYR
5 - 1
EVA
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EVA
2 - 1
BLB
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DKB
1 - 0
EVA
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
0 - 4
SIU
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 2
MSB
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |