Missouri State vs Bradley Braves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Missouri State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
0 - 2
LYR
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 4
MSB
6%
13%
80%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
LYR
0 - 2
MSB
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MSB
3 - 2
DKB
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
BLB
0 - 1
MSB
7%
13%
80%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Bradley Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
DKB
2 - 1
BLB
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BLB
2 - 3
LYR
8%
15%
77%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
EVA
1 - 1
BLB
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
BLB
0 - 1
MSB
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LYR
2 - 0
BLB
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |