Mislata vs Crack´s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mislata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MIS
1 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAS
0 - 1
MIS
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
QUA
2 - 1
MIS
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 1
REQ
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
FOY
1 - 1
MIS
26%
27%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crack´s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 2
BUÑ
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 3
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
MAS
0 - 0
CRA
57%
23%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 1
ALD
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |