Mirassol vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
MIR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
MIR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MIR
3 - 1
RBB
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
MIR
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
XVD
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 4
XVD
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 0
BRU
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
XVD
0 - 1
OPE
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |