Mirassol vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
ECS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 0
MIR
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 2
MIR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
ALT
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
YPI
12%
25%
64%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
VIT
12%
26%
62%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 3
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 1
UNI
70%
19%
10%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |