Mirassol vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
MIR
21%
24%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |