Mirassol vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
61%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIR
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITU
1 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |