Mirassol vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 2
MIR
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
MIR
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
OES
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 2
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
BOT
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MOG
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAL
10%
19%
72%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |